Cf Industries Holdings Stock Analysis

CF Stock  USD 92.64  1.32  1.45%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for CF Industries Holdings extending back to August 11, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of CF Industries stands at 92.64, as last reported on the 7th of February, with the highest price reaching 93.31 and the lowest price hitting 91.33 during the day.
IPO Date
11th of August 2005
200 Day MA
86.6335
50 Day MA
82.874
Beta
0.689
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
CF Industries Holdings holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.425. At this time, CF Industries' Short Term Debt is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The CF Industries' current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 3.7 B, while Net Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 1.6 B. CF Industries' financial risk is the risk to CF Industries stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

CF Industries' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. CF Industries' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps CF Industries Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect CF Industries' stakeholders.
For many companies, including CF Industries, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for CF Industries Holdings, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, CF Industries' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
2.9799
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.1604
Price Sales
2.2276
Shares Float
154.2 M
Dividend Share
2
At this time, CF Industries' Common Stock Shares Outstanding is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The CF Industries' current Stock Based Compensation is estimated to increase to about 43.5 M, while Total Stockholder Equity is projected to decrease to roughly 3.4 B. . The CF Industries' current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 8.30, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.40.
CF Industries Holdings is fairly valued with Real Value of 90.12 and Target Price of 91.21. The main objective of CF Industries stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what CF Industries Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of CF Industries' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The CF Industries stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and CF Industries' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in CF Industries Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

CF Industries Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CF Industries was currently reported as 30.75. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.59. CF Industries Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The firm had 5:1 split on the 18th of June 2015. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. Cf Industries operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2970 people. For more info on CF Industries Holdings please contact Anthony Will at 847 405 2400 or go to https://www.cfindustries.com.

CF Industries Quarterly Total Revenue

1.66 Billion

CF Industries Holdings Investment Alerts

Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Hydrogen Stocks To Follow Today February 6th

CF Industries Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact CF Industries' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2007-02-08
2006-12-310.050.03-0.0240 
2006-07-27
2006-06-300.130.150.0215 
2017-05-03
2017-03-310.020.050.03150 
View All Earnings Estimates

CF Industries Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

CF Industries' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates CF Industries' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of CF Industries' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect CF Industries' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

CF Industries Thematic Classifications

In addition to having CF Industries stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Manufacturing Idea
Manufacturing
Manufacturing of goods across different domains

CF Industries Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2025-06-30
3.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
2.9 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2025-06-30
2.9 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
2.6 M
Pacer Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
2.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
2.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
2.5 M
Qube Research & Technologies2025-06-30
2.3 M
Earnest Partners Llc2025-06-30
2.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
19.8 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
12.8 M
Note, although CF Industries' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

CF Industries Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 15.01 B.

CF Industries Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of 0.2 %, which suggests that even a small decline in it sales will erase profits and may result in a net loss, or a negative profit margin. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.34 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.34.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.23 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.15 

Management Efficiency

CF Industries Holdings has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0955 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0955. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of 0.2197 %, which means that it produced $0.2197 on every 100 dollars invested by current stockholders. CF Industries' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well CF Industries manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The CF Industries' current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.23, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to 0.08. At this time, CF Industries' Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The CF Industries' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.89, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 7.5 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 37.88  39.77 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 22.91  24.06 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 5.42  5.69 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.78  2.09 
Enterprise Value Multiple 5.42  5.69 
Price Fair Value 2.78  2.09 
Enterprise Value15.3 B11.6 B
The strategic decisions made by CF Industries management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.0219
Operating Margin
0.3394
Profit Margin
0.2047
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0216
Beta
0.689

Technical Drivers

As of the 7th of February, CF Industries owns the Standard Deviation of 1.99, market risk adjusted performance of 0.3239, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1173.53. CF Industries Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of past data patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm CF Industries Holdings mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio to decide if CF Industries Holdings is priced fairly, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 92.64 per share. Given that CF Industries Holdings has jensen alpha of 0.1191, we suggest you to validate CF Industries's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself sooner or later.

CF Industries Holdings Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Weighted Moving Average calculates a weight for each value in CF Industries price series with the more recent values given greater weights.

CF Industries Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific CF Industries insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on CF Industries' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases CF Industries insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

CF Industries Outstanding Bonds

CF Industries issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. CF Industries Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most CF Industries bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when CF Industries Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

CF Industries Predictive Daily Indicators

CF Industries intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of CF Industries stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

CF Industries Corporate Filings

F3
21st of January 2026
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
13th of January 2026
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
ViewVerify
8K
9th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
7th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
6th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
19th of December 2025
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
ViewVerify
8K
26th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
21st of November 2025
Prospectus used primarily for registering securities for public sale.
ViewVerify

CF Industries Forecast Models

CF Industries' time-series forecasting models are one of many CF Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary CF Industries' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

CF Industries Bond Ratings

CF Industries Holdings financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much CF Industries have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for CF Industries' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(3.35)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

CF Industries Holdings Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as CF Industries, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
CF Industries Holdings reports 3.25 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is normal for its line of buisiness. CF Industries Holdings has a current ratio of 3.34, indicating that it is in good position to pay out its debt commitments in time. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable CF Industries to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.

CF Industries Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time

CF Industries Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which CF Industries uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

CF Industries Debt Ratio

    
  18.0   
It seems as most of the CF Industries' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the CF Industries' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of CF Industries, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

CF Industries Corporate Bonds Issued

Most CF Industries bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when CF Industries Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

CF Industries Net Debt

Net Debt

1.64 Billion

At this time, CF Industries' Net Debt is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

About CF Industries Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how CF Industries prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling CF Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as CF Industries. By using and applying CF Industries Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying CF Industries entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.27  0.15 
Operating Profit Margin 0.26  0.18 
Net Profit Margin 0.18  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.22 

Current CF Industries Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. CF Industries analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. CF Industries analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
91.21Buy21Odds
CF Industries Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most CF Industries analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand CF Industries stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of CF Industries Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to CF Industries conference calls.
CF Industries Analyst Advice Details

CF Industries Stock Analysis Indicators

CF Industries Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how CF Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading CF Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying CF Industries stock analysis, traders can identify CF Industries position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Long Term DebtB
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.7 M
Total Stockholder EquityB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-469 M
Tax Provision285 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.416
Property Plant And Equipment NetB
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B
Cash1.6 B
Accounts Payable125 M
Net Debt1.6 B
50 Day M A82.874
Total Current Liabilities818 M
Other Operating Expenses4.2 B
Non Current Assets Total10.9 B
Forward Price Earnings11.8906
Non Currrent Assets Other917 M
Stock Based Compensation36 M

Complementary Tools for CF Industries Stock analysis

When running CF Industries' price analysis, check to measure CF Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CF Industries is operating at the current time. Most of CF Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CF Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CF Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CF Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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